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Prop Bets: Portland Trail Blazers VS Oklahoma City Thunder 2025-11-23

Thunder Will Strike, Blazers Will Suffer (But Let’s Bet on the Fireworks Anyway)

The Portland Trail Blazers, currently missing nine key players (including Scoot Henderson, Jrue Holiday, and Robert Williams III), are about to face the 16-1 Oklahoma City Thunder—a team so dominant they’ve turned this into a “pick ‘em if the Blazers had a full roster” scenario. Instead, it’s more like “pick the Thunder if you want to bet, or just watch the Blazers fumble their way to a 233-point total.”

The Spread:
The Thunder are a -30.5-point favorite (per the JSON, though the article says -15.5—let’s assume the JSON is correct because obviously the spread should be nuclear). The moneyline? -1100 for the Thunder, +700 for the Blazers. That’s like saying the Blazers have a better chance of winning by shooting 100% from the free-throw line in a blizzard.

The Total:
Over 233.5 (-108) is a lock. The Thunder are 4th in offensive rating, the Blazers are 25th in defensive efficiency, and both teams rank in the top 5 in offensive pace. This isn’t a game—it’s a track meet where the Thunder’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will probably dunk on a Blazers’ bench full of G-League call-ups.

Player Props to Target:
1. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Over 1.5 three-pointers (-164).
Shai’s at 40.4% from deep, averaging 2.0 threes per game, and he torched Portland earlier this season. Why bet on the over? Because even if he’s 0-for-3, the line is still “over 1.5.” It’s math, not a bet.

1. Deni Avdija: Over 16.5 points (-128).
   With Shaedon Sharpe questionable, Avdija gets a shot-volume boost. At -128 (implied probability: 56.1%), he’s a safe play. The Blazers need someone to score, and Avdija’s got the floor.

1. Over 233.5 total points (-108).
   The Blazers’ 12-4 over/under record and the Thunder’s 4th-ranked offense? This game will have more points than a tax auditor’s nightmare.

Final Prediction:
The Thunder win by 35, Shai drops 30 with 8 assists, and the Blazers’ bench includes a guy named “Rookie #5” who dunks on the scorer’s table. Bet the over, cash in on Shai’s threes, and enjoy the circus.

“The Blazers are so short-handed they might have to play the starting five from their G-League affiliate. Even then, they’d be underdogs.” — Your friendly neighborhood handicapper, who’s definitely not a Blazers fan.

Created: Nov. 24, 2025, 12:51 a.m. GMT