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Prop Bets: River Plate VS Inter Milan 2025-06-25

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Inter Milan vs. River Plate: A Tense Tango of Tactics
June 26, 2025 | Lumen Field | Kickoff: 1:00 AM UTC (22:00 BrasĂ­lia Time)

The Setup:
Imagine two overly prepared accountants settling a coffee debt with a high-stakes chess match. That’s this game. Both Inter Milan (4 points) and River Plate (4 points) arrive undefeated in Group E, but with the pride of a team that technically won but literally coughed up a goal to Urawa Reds (Inter 2-1) and River’s Monterrey 0-0 draw. The bookmakers? They’re throwing their hands up: Inter is a slight favorite at 2.1 (FanDuel), while River Plate’s “I’ll take the underdog and a sandwich” odds sit at 4.25 (BetRivers). The Draw? A 3.0 middle ground for those who distrust both teams’ emotional maturity.

The Playbook:
Per CBS Sports’ Brandt Sutton, this will be a “defensive masterpiece where the highlight reel is a particularly aggressive slide tackle.” Expect a midfield meat grinder, counterattacks that move at the pace of a post-lunch Zoom call, and a final score that makes your grandma say, “That’s how you win friends and influence people.” The Under 2.5 goals is a 1.87 favorite (Bovada), because neither team trusts their defense more than they trust their accountant.

Props to Watch:
- Lautaro Martinez (-137) to score anytime: The Inter star’s odds are shorter than a day in tax season. If he doesn’t net, bookmakers will probably cry.
- River Plate Over 3.5 shots on target (+200): The Argentinian side took 18 shots on Monterrey. If they don’t hit 4+ quality attempts here, their striker Miguel Borja (-141 to score) will be writing a LinkedIn post titled “Why I Left the Club World Cup for a Quiet Life in Patagonia.”
- Martinez Over 2.5 shots (-435): He’s a -435 machine in this category. If he doesn’t hit it, the sportsbooks might just fold up and go home.

The Verdict:
This is a 1-0 Inter win in extra time, decided by a Lautaro Martinez penalty that’s so clinical it makes the goalkeeper question his life choices. River Plate will have 4+ shots on target (per their prop), but Inter’s defense—led by Alessandro Bastoni (+3300 to score, because why not?)—will look like a spreadsheet built for maximum efficiency.

Betting Line of the Day:
Take the Under 2.5 goals at 1.87 (Bovada). It’s the only bet that survives this game’s emotional whiplash.

Final Note: If you bet on River Plate to win, you’re either a masochist or a fan of dramatic comebacks. Do it anyway. The chaos is free.

Created: June 26, 2025, 12:50 a.m. GMT