Prop Bets: Roman Safiullin VS Gael Monfils 2025-08-26

Humorous Prediction: Roman Safiullin vs. Gael Monfils – US Open 2025

Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a serving of tennis drama where the underdog is… well, not really. Roman Safiullin (94th-ranked) is the overwhelming favorite here, and the odds reflect that with the precision of a laser-guided backhand. Let’s break it down:

Safiullin’s Implied Probability: At decimal odds of 1.35 (Fanatics), Safiullin’s chances are 74.07%. That’s like saying your morning coffee will spill if you juggle tennis balls. Not a when, a probably.
- Monfils’ Implied Probability: At 3.25 (Fanatics), Gael Monfils (49th-ranked) has a 30.77% shot. For context, that’s about the same chance I have of explaining why my Netflix password isn’t working.
- Spread: Safiullin is -3.5 games on the spread. If you bet on him, you’re basically betting Monfils will serve 10 double faults and still lose. (Monfils’ 10 double faults in his last match didn’t help, either.)
- Totals: Over/Under is 40.5 games at BetMGM (1.91/1.83). With Safiullin’s 2.9 aces/match and Monfils’ 75.4% first-serve win rate, this match might be shorter than a Netflix commercial break.

Player Props to Note:
- Aces Over/Under: Expect Safiullin to stay under 10 aces (he averages 2.9), while Monfils’ 75.4% first-serve win rate might keep him near 10.
- Double Faults: Monfils’ 10 in his last match? A red flag. Safiullin’s 38 in a prior match? A fire alarm.

Prediction: Safiullin wins in straight sets, 6-3, 6-4, 6-4. Monfils will double-fault more than he serves aces, and Safiullin will make him look like a tennis version of a “slow cooker” on “high.” Unless Monfils suddenly invents a new sport called “Ace Golf,” this is a rout.

Verdict: Bet on Safiullin to cover the -3.5 spread. If you’re feeling spicy, take the Under 40.5 games—this match won’t be a rally, it’ll be a monologue.

“Monfils: A man who serves with the grace of a sleepwalker and expects you to tip him.” 🎾

Created: Aug. 26, 2025, 11:10 p.m. GMT