Prop Bets: Sacramento Kings VS Charlotte Hornets 2025-07-20

Sacramento Kings vs. Charlotte Hornets: A Summer League Final for the Ages
Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a showdown that’s less “NBA Finals” and more “two college all-stars arguing over the last slice of pizza.” The Sacramento Kings (5-0, favored at -200 implied probability via decimal odds of 1.65) and Charlotte Hornets (5-0, +225 on the moneyline) will clash in a battle of unblemished summer league resumes. Let’s break it down with the precision of a coach’s whiteboard and the humor of a bench player’s postgame interview.

The Kings: “We’re Just Here for the Free T-Shirt”
Sacramento’s got Isaac Jones, who dropped 36 points in the semifinals like it was a casual Tuesday. The Kings are -2.5-point favorites across most books, which is about the same as their margin of victory in their last five games (none came closer than 8 points). Their implied probability of winning? A stately 60.6% (thanks to those -200 odds). But let’s be real: They’re just hoping Charlotte’s No. 4 overall pick, Kon Knueppel, stays concussed.

Player Prop Alert: Bet on Isaac Jones to “score more than 25 points” if you enjoy watching a man chase his own shadow.

The Hornets: “We’re Not Here to Make Friends… or Points”
Charlotte’s summer resume is a highlight reel: They’ve beaten Utah, Philadelphia, Dallas, San Antonio, and Oklahoma City. But their star is currently on a literal bench, as Kon Knueppel’s head injury has him watching from the sidelines. Their only hope? Former second-rounder Simpson, who needs to turn into a human dunk contest winner. The Hornets’ +225 odds imply a 31.3% chance to win, which is about the same odds of me understanding a referee’s explanation of a travel call.

Player Prop Alert: If Simpson can hit 4 three-pointers, consider it a miracle. Take the “Under 3 threes” for emotional support.

The Total: 186.5 Points – A Snore-Fest or a Shootout?
The over/under is set at 186.5 points, and the books love the Under (even odds at most shops). Why? The Kings have played four games this summer with combined scores of 172, 168, 175, and 180. If they keep shooting like they’re in a Jumbotron contest, we’re in for a defensive masterclass. Take the Under unless you paid for a nap mat.

Final Verdict: “It’s Not a Prop, It’s a Probability”
The Kings’ implied probability (60.6%) and their -2.5-point spread edge make them the logical pick. But the Hornets’ depth and Sacramento’s reliance on one hot hand (Jones) could make for an upset. My advice? Bet the Under, grab a snack, and hope someone remembers this game exists.

Prediction: Kings win 92-89, Simpson hits one three, and the total points make a sad face.

“Remember, summer league is just basketball’s way of saying ‘we’ll pretend this matters for 48 minutes.’” 🏀

Created: July 21, 2025, 1:22 a.m. GMT