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Prop Bets: Sacramento Kings VS Indiana Pacers 2025-12-08

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Sacramento Kings vs. Indiana Pacers: A Tale of Two Teams (and a Few Three-Pointers)

The Sacramento Kings, currently nursing a 6-17 record and a collective identity crisis, will host the Indiana Pacers in what promises to be a game where the only thing more shaky than Keegan Murray’s jumper is the Kings’ defense. The Pacers, favored at -3.5 (-115), are coming off a 7-5 home ATS run and will exploit Sacramento’s porous interior defense (28th in net rating) while hoping their 4th-ranked 3-point defense suffocates the Kings’ offense.

Key Props to Watch:
- Zach LaVine UNDER 2.5 3-pointers made (-130): Let’s face it, LaVine’s been a bricklayer lately (6 games with ≥3 made threes since Nov. 1). With the Pacers’ 3-point defense ranked 4th, expect him to settle for mid-range fadeaways instead.
- Pascal Siakam OVER 3.5 assists (-138): With Tyus Jones out, Siakam’s playmaking will be the Pacers’ lifeline. He’s already averaging 5.8 dimes per game this season—enough to make even a backup point guard blush.

The Total: The Over/Under is 234.5 (Under -115). Sacramento’s offense is a leaky sieve (26th in offensive rating), but Indiana’s defense? Even leakier. Expect a low-scoring dud where both teams shoot like they’re playing in a blizzard.

Final Prediction: Indiana wins 102-95, but only after Sacramento’s bench outscores their starters. The Kings’ “young, hungry” rotation will include Isaiah Jackson trying to dunk on everyone and Garrison Matthews attempting a three every 12 seconds.

Prop Pick: Pascal Siakam will rack up the assists, but Bennedict Mathurin’s 21.5 points (-120) line is a trap. Fade the “hot hand” and stick with the Pacers’ grizzled veterans.

Remember, folks: If you bet on the Kings, you’re either a masochist or a fan of the underdog. Or maybe both. 🏀💸

Created: Dec. 8, 2025, 6:35 p.m. GMT