Prop Bets: Sacramento Kings VS Minnesota Timberwolves 2025-12-14
Sacramento Kings vs. Minnesota Timberwolves: A Comedy of Errors (With a Touch of Redemption?)
The Sacramento Kings, owners of the NBA’s second-worst offense (111.2 PPG), will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves in a game that’s basically a math test: What’s 11-point underdogs plus a 6-19 record? Answer: A team that’ll need a miracle, a typo, or a time machine to win.
The Timberwolves, fresh off a 127-120 win over the Warriors, are favored by 11 points (-521 on the moneyline), which implies a 83.9% chance to win. Their defense (115.0 PPG allowed) will likely suffocate the Kings’ anemic attack, and their star duo of Anthony Edwards (28.7 PPG) and Julius Randle (23.0 PPG) should dominate. Randle, who’s averaging 23.0 PPG, is a -106 favorite to eclipse 22.5 points—a prop so safe, it’s like betting on gravity.
The Kings, meanwhile, are a tragicomedy. Their 114.8 offensive rating is worse than a TikTok algorithm. DeMar DeRozan (17.7 PPG) and Zach LaVine (21.5 PPG) will try to muster a comeback, but DeRozan’s under 18.5 points (-117) prop is about as likely as a snowstorm in July. And let’s not forget Sacramento’s 26th-ranked defense (122.6 PPG allowed)—a sieve that even a toddler could throw popcorn through.
Key Props to Exploit:
- Julius Randle Over 22.5 Points (-106): He’s averaging 23.0 PPG. This is a freebet.
- Rudy Gobert Over 10.5 Rebounds (-125): The French rebounding machine (10.2 RPG) is a lock.
- Anthony Edwards Over 27.5 Points (-110): He’s at 28.7 PPG. Another “easy” prop.
- Kings Under 114.5 Points (-110): Sacramento’s scoring 111.2 PPG. This is a sure thing for masochists.
The Verdict: The Timberwolves win by double digits, Edwards and Randle feast, and the Kings’ fans will need a group therapy session post-game. Bet the Timberwolves -11 and take Randle Over 22.5 Points—it’s a Tuesday.
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota 128, Sacramento 113. And yes, the Kings will probably miss another layup. It’s their thing.
Created: Dec. 14, 2025, 4:53 p.m. GMT