Prop Bets: San Antonio Spurs VS Orlando Magic 2025-12-03
Spurs vs. Magic: A Tale of Two Absences (But One Team Still Has All the Cards)
By The NBA Oracle of Confidence
The San Antonio Spurs and Orlando Magic are set for a December 4 clash where both teams are missing their stars—Victor Wembanyama (Spurs) and Paolo Banchero (Magic)—but only one squad still has a prayer. Let’s break it down with the precision of a perfectly executed pick-and-roll.
The Line: Orlando -8.5 (-110) | Total: 235.5 (Even Money)
The Magic are favored by 8.5 points at home, and it’s not even close. Why? Because while the Spurs are missing their 7’4” rim-protector-turned-superstar (Wembanyama), the Magic are still intact with a 54.6 PPG in the paint and 18.1 PPG in second-chance points. The Spurs? They’re down a rim protector and their offensive rebounding drops to 33rd in the league. Orlando’s frontcourt dominance? It’s like bringing a chainsaw to a knife fight.
Why Orlando Will Win This One
- Rebounding Advantage: Magic grab 18.1 offensive rebounds per game vs. Spurs’ 12.9. That’s 5-6 extra possessions for Orlando.
- Transition Threat: The Magic average 19.0 fast-break points per game. Spurs? A paltry 14.5.
- Defensive Efficiency: Orlando’s D allows just 109.9 points per 100 possessions (12th in NBA). The Spurs? They’re giving up 115.3 (24th).
Prop Bets to Cash
1. Franz Wagner O/U 24.5 Points
With Banchero out, Wagner steps up. He’s averaging 24.8 PPG in his last 5 games and faces a Spurs defense that’s 26th in points allowed (119.5 PPG). Take OVER.
- Desmond Bane O/U 23.5 Points
Bane is scoring 23.8 PPG in his last 10. The Spurs’ porous defense (24th in defensive rating) can’t stop him. Over is a lock.
- Total Points: OVER 235.5
Orlando (119.2 PPG) vs. San Antonio (119.5 PPG) = 238.7 combined PPG. The line’s 235.5? Over is a no-brainer.
Final Verdict
The Magic are a -8.5 favorite for a reason. The Spurs’ ATS record is 4-2 as underdogs, but that’s noise. Orlando’s home-court edge (+5.5 PPG) and transition game will dominate. Bet the Magic to cover, and stack the props on Wagner and Bane.
Prediction: Magic 122, Spurs 109. And yes, it’s that certain.
Created: Dec. 3, 2025, 11:19 p.m. GMT