Prop Bets: Seattle Mariners VS Tampa Bay Rays 2025-09-02
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: A Low-Scoring Showdown with High Stakes
Predicted Score: Mariners 3, Rays 2
The Setup:
The Seattle Mariners (chasing a wild-card spot) face the Tampa Bay Rays (already mathematically eliminated) in a game that’s less about pride and more about whether Cal Raleigh can hit a home run without looking like he’s begging for it. The Mariners’ Bryan Woo (2.95 ERA, 1.06 WHIP) takes the mound against Rays’ Drew Rasmussen (2.64 ERA, 1.02 WHIP). Both pitchers have elite control, but only one can avoid becoming the night’s punchline.
Why the Mariners Win:
- Woo’s Whispering Magic: Bryan Woo’s 2.95 ERA is backed by a 32.7% strikeout rate. He’s the anti-Stephen A. Smith—calm, precise, and unlikely to overexplain his strategy.
- Rays’ Soft Underbelly: Tampa’s .302 team batting average (29th in MLB) means they’ll struggle to scratch against Woo, who’s allowed just 1.99 runs per game this season.
- Cal Raleigh’s Prop Bet: The Mariner’s slugger is -140 to hit ≥0.5 HRs. That’s like betting he’ll not launch a moonshot—unless he’s had a pre-game espresso.
Why the Rays Might Survive:
- Rasmussen’s Relentless Repertoire: Rasmussen’s 2.64 ERA is bolstered by a 23.4% swinging-strike rate. He’s the MLB version of a spreadsheet—boring but effective.
- Seattle’s Struggles vs. LHPs: The Mariners are a laughable .213 against lefties this year. Rasmussen is a lefty.
Prop Bets to Steal (or Lose):
1. Julio Rodriguez O/U 0.5 Doubles (-110/Even): The “King of the Jungle” (aka Julio) is 3-for-3 in doubles this month. Take the over if you believe in destiny.
2. Cal Raleigh O/U 0.5 RBIs (-145/Even): The Mariners’ DH is 1-for-14 in his last 5 games. Bet the under if you want to feel validated.
3. Randy Arozarena O/U 1.5 Total Bases (-125/Even): The “Erode” has 10 total bases in his last 10 games. Take the under and call it a night.
The Verdict:
This is a game for the ages—or at least a game where the ages of the starters will feel very old by the 7th inning. The Mariners’ balanced offense (26 HRs in September) and Woo’s sub-3.00 ERA make them slight favorites (-115 on DraftKings). Take the UNDER 8 runs (1.95) and root for a pitchers’ duel that ends with both starters looking at the scoreboard like, “Wait, that’s it?”
Final Prediction:
The Mariners win 3-2, Cal Raleigh strikes out, and Randy Arozarena’s “3-for-5 with a triple” prop bet goes 0-for-5 with a yawn.
Created: Sept. 2, 2025, 12:32 p.m. GMT