Prop Bets: St. Louis Cardinals VS Colorado Rockies 2025-07-21
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies: A Tale of Two Teams (and a Lot of Homer Puns)
The St. Louis Cardinals (-139) are the clear favorites against the Colorado Rockies (24-75) in this Coors Field clash. With a 70.6% win rate as favorites this season, the Cards are a well-oiled machine, while the Rockiesā 23% win rate as underdogs suggests theyāre more likely to hit a grand slam off their own bench. Letās break it down with the precision of a radar gun:
Why the Cardinals Should Win
- Offense vs. the Worst ERA in MLB: The Rockiesā 5.56 ERA (dead last) is like a leaky faucetāunstoppable and messy. The Cardsā 4.5 runs/game (13th) should exploit this, especially with Nolan Arenado (-125 to hit >1.5 HRs) and Brendan Donovan (-115 for >1.5 RBIs) leading the charge.
- Starting Pitcher Magic: Michael McGreevy (season debut!) faces a Rockies lineup thatās hit 96 HRs (23rd). His implied strikeout line? 4.5 Ks (-120). If heās lucky, this could be a 1-2-3 inning⦠or a 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9 HR derby.
Why the Rockies Might Survive
- Ryan McMahonās Power: The Rockiesā 23rd-ranked offense (3.6 R/G) has a spark: McMahonās on a 2-game HR streak. Bet on him to go over 1.5 HRs (-115).
- Coors Field Chaos: The Rockiesā 21 HRs at home this season? Thatās more than the Cardinalsā entire season total. But betting on them to score? Good luckālike betting on a clown car to win a race.
Prop Bets to Steal (or Not)
- Nolan Arenado: Over 1.5 HRs (-125). Heās a .300+ hitter in 2025ādonāt let his ājust a third basemanā reputation fool you.
- Michael Toglia: Under 0.5 RBIs (-115). The Rockiesā DH is a prop minefield; trust the under.
- Austin Gomber: Over 3.5 ERs (-125). His 6.22 ERA says āfree moneyā for Rockies bettors⦠if theyāre masochists.
Final Prediction
The Cardinals win 6-3, fueled by Arenadoās HR and a Rockies bullpen thatās more āexplosiveā than a piƱata at a fireworks show. But donāt be surprised if McMahon (-140 to hit 1.5 HRs) steals a run and makes you feel better about your losing bets.
Final Score: Cardinals 6, Rockies 3.
Prop Winners: Arenado HR Over, Rockies Total Over 11.5 (-110).
Note: This prediction assumes the Rockiesā pitching staff isnāt secretly a group of retired firefighters. No guarantees. š©š„
Created: July 21, 2025, 7:01 p.m. GMT