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Prop Bets: St. Louis Cardinals VS Miami Marlins 2025-08-19

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Cardinals vs. Marlins: A "Fish" Tale of Redemption
The St. Louis Cardinals (61-64) are coming off a five-game losing streak, and their starting pitcher, Matthew Liberatore, is facing a Miami lineup that’s torched lefties like a campfire in a dry forest. Meanwhile, Miami’s Eury PĂ©rez has been a disaster lately, giving up nine runs and five homers in his last two starts. If PĂ©rez wants to avoid becoming the Marlins’ new "Fish Out of Water," he’ll need to tighten up his act.

Key Matchup:
- Liberatore (LHP) vs. PĂ©rez (RHP): Liberatore’s 4-1 road record (last five starts) vs. PĂ©rez’s 3.62 ERA in his last 10 starts. Spoiler: PĂ©rez is 3-6 in his last nine games.

Odds Breakdown:
- Moneyline: Miami (-115) vs. St. Louis (-105) at various books.
- Spread: Miami -1.5 (2.5-2.6 odds) / St. Louis +1.5 (1.52-1.54).
- Total: 7.5-8.0 runs (Over: 1.83-2.0 / Under: 1.85-1.98).

Prop Bets to Watch:
- Willson Contreras (Cardinals): Over 0.5 HR (+560) / Under -700.
- Lars Nootbaar (Marlins): Over 1.5 total bases (-145) / Under -170.
- Xavier Edwards (Marlins): Over 2.5 H (-180) / Under +135.
- PĂ©rez’s ERA: Over 1.5 runs (-150) / Under +115.

Prediction: The Marlins (-1.5) will capitalize on PĂ©rez’s recent woes and Liberatore’s road dominance. Look for a low-scoring game (Under 7.5) unless Nootbaar doubles up (he’s +280 to hit a HR). The Cardinals’ bats? They’ll be as quiet as a library.

Final Score Prediction: Miami 3, St. Louis 2.
Why? Because PĂ©rez needs a win, and the Cardinals’ offense is currently batting .198. Let’s call it a "fishy" comeback for Miami. 🐟

Note: All odds as of August 19, 2025. Props via FanDuel/Bovada. No guarantees—this is baseball, after all.

Created: Aug. 19, 2025, 12:07 p.m. GMT