Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays VS Baltimore Orioles 2025-09-25
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: A Game of "Why" and "Why Not?"
The Tampa Bay Rays (-129) are favored to stomp the Baltimore Orioles (+110) in this late-September snoozefest, but let’s be honest: this game is less of a contest and more of a mercy mission for the Orioles. The Rays’ Drew Rasmussen (2.80 ERA, 124 Ks in 147.2 IP) is a human strikeout machine, while the Orioles’ offense has the punch of a wet noodle (team batting average: .237, strikeouts: 9.0 per game).
Why the Rays Win:
- Rasmussen’s Ruthless Efficiency: He’s got a 3.44 WHIP and nearly a strikeout per inning. The Orioles’ lineup is so bad, even their mascot might be more threatening.
- Orioles’ Offense: They’re last in the AL in runs (4.2/game) and OPS (.625). Their best bet? Praying for a Tyler O’Neill hit (Under 0.5 H at +140). Good luck—his .195 average says “no.”
Why the Orioles Might Shock Us:
- Cade Povich’s ERA: At 4.58, it’s not exactly Cy Young material, but if he can Under 2.5 earned runs (-165), maybe the Rays’ bullpen will unravel.
- The Under (8.5 runs at -110): With both teams averaging 4.2 runs/game, this feels like betting on a raccoon to win a chess match. But hey, the Orioles’ pitching staff has a 4.58 ERA. Anything could happen.
Prop Bets to Mock:
- Rasmussen Over 6.5 Ks (-117): He’s got 10.6 Ks per 9 IP. This is his job.
- Povich Under 2.5 ER (-165): If he can pitch like a wallflower, the Orioles might avoid a shutout.
Final Prediction:
The Rays win 4-1. Rasmussen fans 8, the Orioles score 0, and the only highlight is a fan catching a fly ball… and then crying. Take the Rays (-129) unless you enjoy watching a team chase a .500 record with the urgency of a sloth in a library.
“The Orioles’ best play? Praying for a Tyler O’Neill hit. Their second-best? Praying for a Tyler O’Neill hit. Their third? Also that hit.” — Your Humble Handicapper, 2025
Created: Sept. 25, 2025, 3:22 p.m. GMT