Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays VS Minnesota Twins 2025-07-06
Twins vs. Rays: A Tale of Two ERAs (and a Few Home Runs)
The Minnesota Twins (-132) and Tampa Bay Rays (+210) clash at Target Field, where the only thing higher than the Twinsâ payroll might be the tension between their ERAs. Letâs break this down with the precision of a radar gun and the humor of a dugout full of comedians.
The Pitcherâs Duel: Joe Ryan vs. Drew Rasmussen
- Joe Ryan (Twins, 2.75 ERA): The Twinsâ ace aims to keep his ERA under 3.00 (like keeping your exâs texts under âawkwardâ).
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays, 3.75 ERA): Tampaâs starter needs to avoid becoming the first pitcher to no-hit the Twins this season (spoiler: he wonât).
Why the Twins Are Favorites?
Because their 51.8% win rate as favorites is statistically higher than the Raysâ 48.7% as underdogs. Also, the Twins hit 99 home runs this seasonâenough to build a small bridge. The Rays? They just need to hope their 419 runs scored translates to âenough to winâ instead of âenough to make the Twinsâ defense cry.â
Player Props to Bet on (or Avoid)
- Doubles Derby: Yandy Diaz (Rays) and Byron Buxton (Twins) are both -290 to hit a double. Letâs just say⌠good luck, Yandy. Youâll need it.
- First Home Run: Buxton (-160) and Brandon Lowe (-150) are the top bets. If neither connects, the game might end 0-0.
- RBI Roulette: Carlos Correa (+165) and Trevor Larnach (+200) could be your RBI kings⌠or your ticket to a very confused fantasy lineup.
Total Runs: 8.5 (Even Money)
This gameâs likely to be a pitcherâs duel. The Twinsâ 4.15 ERA vs. the Raysâ 3.75 ERA? Itâs like comparing a rusty car engine to a slightly less rusty one. Expect a low-scoring affairâthink 4-3 or 2-1, not a fireworks show.
Final Prediction
The Twins win 2-1 on a walk-off single by⌠checks notes⌠probably someone named âRoyce Lewis.â The Rays will thank their lucky stars (and Junior Camineroâs .500 OBP) for keeping it close. And yes, weâll all forget this game happened by tomorrow.
Pick: Twins + Run Line (-1.5, 2.55) â Because âsmall leadsâ are the only leads the Rays respect.
Prop Bet: Over 8.5 Total Runs â Only if you enjoy heartburn.
Disclaimer: This prediction is not financial advice. Itâs just a bunch of numbers and jokes strung together. Go bet responsiblyâor donât, we donât care. đ˛âž
Created: July 6, 2025, 5:43 p.m. GMT