Prop Bets: Texas Rangers VS Kansas City Royals 2025-08-21
Royals vs. Rangers: A Tale of Two Offenses (and One Hopeful Pitcher)
August 21, 2025 | Kauffman Stadium | 6:11 PM CT
The Kansas City Royals (-115 ML) enter as favorites despite scoring just 3.8 runs per game—28th in MLB. Their pitcher, Michael Lorenzen, faces a Texas Rangers lineup that’s averaging 4.1 runs per game but has lost nine of 11. The Rangers (+157 ML) are led by Patrick Corbin, who’s trying to avoid becoming the 2025 version of a tired meme.
Why the Royals Might Win (Probably Not by Much):
- Lorenzen’s ERA: 3.59 (better than Corbin’s 4.12).
- Rangers’ Hitting: 24th in MLB with a .233 average. Let’s call it “The Great Struggling.”
- Witt’s Prop: Bobby Witt Jr. is -390 to exceed 1.5 hits. That’s like saying he’s likely to do something the Royals’ offense rarely does: not strike out.
Why the Rangers Might Win (Surprise!):
- Corbin’s Magic: If he can somehow pitch like 2020 Gerrit Cole, the Rangers’ “stagnant” bats might magically wake up.
- Semien’s Power: Marcus Semien (+600 to hit a HR) is the only Ranger who’s hit 16 HRs this year. That’s literally his entire season.
Prop Bets to Steal (or Lose) Your Wallet:
- Witt’s HR Prop: Over 0.5 HR at +250. Bet it if you believe in miracles.
- Semien’s HR Prop: Also Over 0.5 HR at +600. Bet it if you really believe in miracles.
- Total Runs: Over 9.0 at -115. With these offenses? Please.
Final Prediction:
The Royals win 3-2 in 10 innings after Witt singles, Semien strikes out, and Corbin throws 100 pitches. Implied probabilities? The Royals cover the 1.5-run spread (61% implied) because something has to give.
Bet the Under on total bases (1.95) because both teams’ bats are about as loud as a whisper in a library. 🏰⚾
Created: Aug. 21, 2025, 11:35 a.m. GMT