Prop Bets: Tokyo Yakult Swallows VS Yokohama DeNA BayStars 2025-09-05
Prediction: "Murakami’s HR Machine vs. DeNA’s One-Run Jinx — Will the Swallows Finally Stop Being Swallowed?"
The Tokyo Yakult Swallows, led by Masataka Murakami—the human home-run missile who’s belted 17 dingers in 34 games (that’s one every two games, folks)—are charging into this matchup like a typhoon. But the Yokohama DeNA BayStars, fresh off a 1-0 shutout over the Swallows last week, are feeling cocky. Can DeNA’s “I’ve-been-here-before” attitude survive another round? Or will Murakami’s .307 average and 32 RBIs turn this into a fireworks show?
The Odds Say…
- Moneyline: DeNA is the clear favorite at -150 to -162, implying a 60-63% chance to win. The Swallows? A +230 to +245 long shot, or roughly a 29-31% shot to shock the world.
- Spreads: DeNA’s -1.5 line (-150 to -160) suggests bookmakers think they’ll win by at least two runs. But given the NPB’s recent trend of 6-run totals (even/under 6.0 is priced 1.87-1.93), this feels like a “keep it close” proposition.
- Totals: The Over/Under is 6.0-6.5 runs, with prices split evenly. With Murakami’s recent two-homer games and DeNA’s shaky bullpen (they won their last game on a one-run shutout, not a trend), this could be a nailbiter.
Key Prop Bets (Implied from Context)
- Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs: +200 (implied 33.3% chance). He’s hit 7 in his last 6 games. This isn’t a prop—it’s a certainty.
- DeNA Starter No-Hitter: +1000 (if you dare). Their pitcher last time? A 3-hit shutout. No pressure.
The Verdict
DeNA’s odds favor them, but their 1-0 win last week was as thrilling as a nap. Murakami, meanwhile, is on a “I’ll hit a homer every time I blink” streak. Bet the Over 6.5 runs at -110 (if available) and root for a Swallows +1.5 upset at +160. Why? Because if Murakami connects once, DeNA’s “shutout” vibe will evaporate faster than a yakitori discount.
Final Score Prediction: Yakult Swallows 5, DeNA BayStars 4.
Because even gods of home runs need a mercy rule. 🏆🔥
(Note: No MLB props were harmed in the making of this prediction. The Angels’ 2-run under prop? A different game. A tragic mistake.)
Created: Sept. 5, 2025, 6:50 a.m. GMT