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Prop Bets: Toronto Blue Jays VS New York Yankees 2025-09-05

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Yankees vs. Blue Jays: A Tale of Two Batting Averages (and One Over/Under That’s Just Sad)

The New York Yankees (-139) host the Toronto Blue Jays (+110) in a September showdown where stats say the Yanks should win, but the Blue Jays’ .270 team average might just spit in the face of logic. Let’s break it down with the precision of a perfectly placed knuckleball:

The Numbers That Won’t Lie
- Aaron Judge (.323 AVG, 43 HRs) vs. Bo Bichette (.307 AVG, 91 RBIs): It’s like Batman vs. Bichette (sorry, not sorry).
- Starting Pitchers: Cam Schlittler (2.61 ERA) for NY vs. Kevin Gausman (4.29 ERA). Gausman’s ERA is higher than my dad’s blood pressure during family game night.
- Offense: Yankees mash 5.3 runs/game (5th MLB), Blue Jays score 4.9 (10th). Both teams love to chug runs like they’re at a baseball-themed all-you-can-eat buffet.

Odds & Ends
- Moneyline: Yankees -139 (implied 57.7% chance), Blue Jays +110 (47.6%).
- Total: Over/Under 8.5 runs. The “Over” is 1.83 (54.1% implied), while the “Under” is 2.0 (50%). Translation: This game will either be a slugfest or the bookmakers are just messing with us.

Prop Bets Worth Your Time (and Maybe a Few Bucks)
- Aaron Judge HR Over/Under: 0.5 HR (-186). Bet “Under” if you’ve seen his swing mechanics—cough—he’s more likely to launch a moonshot than a line drive.
- Bo Bichette Hits Over/Under: 0.5 H (-290). Take the “Over” because Bichette’s as consistent as a metronome on meth.
- Cam Schlittler Strikeouts Over/Under: 4.5 K (-122). Schlittler’s got the stuff to make you forget his name.

Final Verdict
The Yankees’ edge in starting pitching and Judge’s bat mean they’ll likely win, but the Blue Jays’ offense could make it a thriller. Prediction: Yankees 6, Blue Jays 4. And yes, that means you’re probably losing to the “Under” on runs. Again.

Tip your bartender if you’re betting on Judge. He’ll need it when you start crying. 🍻⚾

Created: Sept. 5, 2025, 7:41 a.m. GMT