Prop Bets: Toronto Blue Jays VS Seattle Mariners 2025-10-15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners – ALCS Game 1 Prediction: A Tale of Two Teams (and a Few Prop Bets)
The Toronto Blue Jays, currently down 0-2 in the ALCS, are desperate to avoid a sweep in this pivotal Game 3 (or is it Game 1? Wait, no—this is Game 1 of the ALCS? Confusing playoff scheduling, we hardly knew ye). The Mariners, fresh off their 2-0 series lead, host the Jays at T-Mobile Park, where the roof is likely to stay closed for dramatic effect. Let’s break it down with stats, odds, and a sprinkle of prop bets to keep things spicy.
Key Stats & Odds
- Moneyline: Seattle (-134) vs. Toronto (+113)
- Run Line: Mariners -1.5 (+250) vs. Blue Jays +1.5 (-350)
- Over/Under: 7 runs (Over: -110, Under: -110)
The Mariners, led by their dominant pitching staff (2.35 team ERA in the playoffs), are slight favorites. Toronto’s offense, which has managed just 2 runs in the first two games, will need to wake up—or at least stop sleeping in the third inning, where they’ve scored zero times this series.
Player Props to Watch
1. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: Over/Under 0.5 doubles (+420). Let’s hope Vlad connects for a double; he’s 0-for-3 in the series so far.
2. George Springer: Over/Under 1.5 hits (-235). Springer needs a wake-up call after a 0-for-5 slump.
3. George Kirby (SEA): Over/Under 4.5 strikeouts (-135). The Mariners’ ace is 3-for-3 in playoff starts, so trust him.
4. Cal Raleigh (SEA): Over/Under 1.5 RBIs (+175). The Mariners’ DH is quietly 3-for-8 with a HR in the series.
Why the Mariners Win
- Pitching Matchup: Shane Bieber (TOR) vs. George Kirby (SEA). Bieber has a 4.50 ERA in his career, while Kirby’s 2.89 playoff ERA makes him a safer bet.
- Home Field Advantage: T-Mobile Park’s juiced dimensions have been a nightmare for left-handed hitters (cough, Bo Bichette, cough).
- Toronto’s Offense: The Jays are hitting .185 in the series. Even a 7-run over/under feels generous.
Why the Blue Jays Could Shock Us
- Clutch Hitting: Alejandro Kirk has a 1.000 OPS in 11 playoff games. If he stays hot, the Jays have a chance.
- Bullpen Chaos: Seattle’s relievers have a 4.76 ERA in the playoffs. Toronto’s bats could exploit this… if they ever swing the bats.
Final Prediction
The Mariners take this game, 4-2, behind Kirby’s dominance and a Toronto offense that will likely go 0-for-the-3rd-inning-again. But let’s not forget the props: Bet Vlad’s double (+420) and Kirby’s strikeout total (Over 4.5, -135). And if you’re feeling lucky, take Victor Robles to steal a base (+375).
Final Score Prediction: Seattle 4, Toronto 2.
But hey, if the Jays score a run in the 9th, it’ll be the first time all series. Don’t @ me. 🐙⚾
Created: Oct. 15, 2025, 5:18 p.m. GMT