Prop Bets: Toronto Raptors VS Atlanta Hawks 2025-10-22
Toronto Raptors vs. Atlanta Hawks: A Statistical Showdown with a Side of Sarcasm
The Toronto Raptors, now armed with Brandon Ingram (23.2 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 5.2 APG in 6 seasons) and a defense that somehow let opponents average 119.3 PPG last year, host the Atlanta Hawks—a team that somehow ranked 18th in 3-point shooting but 29th in defensive rating. It’s a match made in chaos.
Why the Raptors Might Win (Despite the Odds):
- Brandon Ingram’s Debut: The Pelicans’ 6-year star (23.2 PPG) is dropping 18.5 points Over/Under at -106. With Trae Young’s defense rated like a sieve (-104 DRtg last season), Ingram’s 52.3% 3PT% could make this a shootout.
- Hawks’ Porzingis Problem: Kristaps Porzingis is a rebounder (8.5 RPG), but his assist line is laughable (1.5 AST Under at -105). He’s not Luka.
- Raptors’ “Defense”: Toronto’s 110.9 defensive rating last season (23rd) suggests they’ll let Atlanta’s 118.2 PPG offense run wild.
Why the Hawks Might Win (If You’re a Pessimist):
- Trae Young’s Volume: He’ll torch the Raptors’ 23rd-ranked defense (118.3 FG%) for 23.5 points Over at -115. But good luck—Toronto’s 4th in contested 3PT% defense.
- Hawks’ Over/Under: The 237.5 total is a toss-up. Both teams are offensive duds (Raptors: 110.9 PPG, Hawks: 118.2 PPG).
Key Props to Bet (Because Why Not?):
- Brandon Ingram Over 18.5 points (-106): He’s a career 52.3% 3PT shooter. Let him cook.
- Porzingis Under 1.5 assists (-105): He’s averaged 2.1 assists per game in 2024-25. Regression is coming.
- Raptors +5.5 (-110): If Scottie Barnes (5.2 APG) can avoid turnovers, they might shock the Hawks.
Final Prediction: A high-scoring, defensive-free-for-all. Over 237.5 total at -110. And yes, Ingram will drop 25+. The Raptors’ defense? A work in progress.
Note: This prediction assumes Porzingis doesn’t magically become a playmaker. Spoiler: He won’t. 🏀🔥
Created: Oct. 22, 2025, 9:19 p.m. GMT