Prop Bets: Toronto Raptors VS Milwaukee Bucks 2025-12-18
The Great Three-Point Gambit: Bucks vs. Raptors in a Pick-and-Shoot Showdown
The Milwaukee Bucks, currently nursing a 11-16 record like a sore elbow, host the Toronto Raptors in a game that’s less of a contest and more of a "Will D’Angelo Russell finally hit a three?" experiment. With Giannis Antetokounmpo sidelined and the Raptors reeling from a 1-4 skid (and a missing Scottie Barnes), this game is a pick-and-roll infomercial starring Damian Lillard and Grayson Allen—two men who’ve somehow combined to shoot 37% from deep this season. Somehow.
The Numbers That Make You Want to Hide Under a Couch
- The Bucks are the NBA’s third-best three-point shooting team (40.4%), but Lillard’s personal 31.8% clip is about as reliable as a weather forecast in Wisconsin.
- Toronto’s defense? A sieve. They’re 24th in defensive rebounding (22nd worst) and 27th in points allowed. But hey, at least they’re not the Nets.
- The spread? Raptors -5.5. Because nothing says “confidence” like betting against a team that’s scoring 113.9 PPG.
Player Props Worth Your Hard-Earned Cash
- Damian Lillard (Over 21.5 points -117): If he makes any of his 6.8 three-point attempts, this line is yours for the taking.
- Grayson Allen (Over 16.5 points -125): He’s 37% from deep. That’s mathematically better than the Raptors’ offense.
- Bobby Portis (Over 14.5 rebounds -110): The Bucks need someone to grab 40% of their defensive boards. Portis is their best hope.
Why the Raptors Are Favored (and Why They’ll Probably Lose)
Toronto’s 16-11 record is a mirage. They’ve won 6 of their last 10, but that includes a 106-96 victory over the 2023 Harlem Globetrotters. Their offense? A bloated 115.4 PPG. Meanwhile, Milwaukee’s home-court advantage (117.9 PPG at Fiserv Forum vs. 108.8 on the road) is the difference between “meh” and “meh, but with better snacks.”
The Verdict
This game is a three-point heist. If the Bucks hit 10 of their 42 three-point attempts (hey, why not?), they’ll win by 15. If they go 5-for-25? Well, even Barnes can’t save Toronto from that.
Final Prediction:
Milwaukee Bucks 122, Toronto Raptors 117
Because nothing says “resurgence” like a 7-2 run in the 4th quarter.
And if you bet on Lillard’s Over 21.5 points… you’re welcome. 🏀
Created: Dec. 18, 2025, 4:31 p.m. GMT