Prop Bets: Utah Jazz VS Golden State Warriors 2025-11-24
Golden State Warriors vs. Utah Jazz: A Comedy of Errors (With a 3-Point Twist)
Prediction: The Golden State Warriors (-14.5) will stomp the Utah Jazz 118-104, with Steph Curry raining 4.5+ three-pointers to mock the league’s worst 3-point defense (15.6 made per game allowed). The total (239.5) will fall, because even in a high-scoring era, the Jazz’s offense (23rd in offensive rating) and the Warriors’ injuries will keep it from exploding.
Why?
- Home Court Advantage: The Warriors are 5-1 at Chase Center this season, while the Jazz are 1-6 on the road. Utah’s road struggles? They’ve lost 3 of 4 there, including a 13-point drubbing by the Lakers.
- Steph’s Three-Point Joke: Curry (-151 to make 4.5+ threes) is averaging 4.8 threes per game against a Jazz defense that’s last in the NBA at allowing 15.6 made threes per game. This isn’t a prop—it’s a foregone conclusion.
- Injury Chaos: The Jazz are missing Keyonte George (questionable) and others, while the Warriors’ Draymond Green is questionable. But even a hobbled Golden State is better than a full-strength Utah team.
Prop Bets to Mock:
- Lauri Markkanen (-110, 26.5+ points): The Finnish big man will struggle against the Dubs’ rim protection (10th in defensive rating).
- Jusuf Nurkic (-125, 9.5+ rebounds): He’ll outrebound the Warriors’ scrubs, but it won’t matter when the team can’t score.
Final Score: Warriors 118, Jazz 104. The Jazz will thank their lucky stars they don’t have to face the Warriors’ full roster again until March.
Implied Probability Check:
- Warriors ML (-950) = 90.5% win chance. Realistic? Maybe. They’re 5-1 at home.
- Jazz ML (+625) = 13.7% chance. Realistic? Only if Curry sits.
Verdict: Bet the Warriors -14.5. And don’t even think about the Jazz covering the spread unless you enjoy financial ruin. 🏀🔥
Created: Nov. 25, 2025, 12:33 a.m. GMT