Prop Bets: VfB Stuttgart VS RB Leipzig 2025-11-01
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: A Bundesliga Battle of Wits (and Nerves)
By The Sportswriter with the Most Confidence in the Room
The Setup:
RB Leipzig (-0.5) and VfB Stuttgart meet in a clash that’s less “glory” and more “grim determination.” Stuttgart, fresh off a 2-1 Bundesliga win over Mainz (the same team they’ll face again in the DFB-Pokal later this week—how’s that for a warmup?), host Leipzig, who’ve been… well, let’s just say their recent 6-0 drubbing by RB Leipzig (not this team, the other one) is ancient history. Ancient. Like, “we’ve won three of our last four” ancient.
The Odds:
- Moneyline: RB Leipzig is the consensus favorite at +1.95 to +2.00 (implied probability: ~51%), while Stuttgart (+3.20 to +3.50) is the underdog (~29%). The draw? A tidy +3.60 to +3.90 (~25-26%).
- Totals: The under 3.5 goals is the play here, with bookies hammering the Under at 1.67 to 1.75 (implied ~60% — because who needs offense when you’ve got defenses?).
- Spreads: Leipzig (-0.5) is priced at +1.85 to +1.98, while Stuttgart (+0.5) is a +1.83 to +1.85 value.
Player Props to Watch:
- Deniz Undav (Stuttgart): The man’s a goal machine. Anytime goal scorer odds: +160 to +188. First goal? +160 to +180. If he doesn’t score, your bet on him is just a tax on hope.
- Johan Bakayoko (Stuttgart): Also a solid play. Anytime goal: +180 to +188. First goal: +180 to +230.
- RB Leipzig’s Antonio Nusa: Don’t sleep on him. Anytime goal: +250 to +275. First goal: +250 to +275. He’s not a name you whisper, but he’s got it.
The Prediction:
Leipzig’s defense, led by Willi Orban (who’s got +550 to +700 to last-score), will stifle Stuttgart’s attack. But Stuttgart’s Deniz Undav? He’s the guy who’ll make you regret clicking “Under.” Expect a 1-0 Leipzig win, with Undav scoring a first-half penalty that everyone argues was offside.
Why Trust Me?
Because I’ve calculated the implied probabilities, cross-referenced player props, and accounted for the fact that Stuttgart’s coach probably still hasn’t figured out how to win away games. Also, I once correctly predicted a 0-0 draw by betting on “no one cares.” Multiple times.
Final Score Prediction: RB Leipzig 1, VfB Stuttgart 0. Under 3.5 goals. Undav scores. You win. Everyone else… sighs.
Place your bets. Or don’t. I’m not your therapist. 🎲⚽
Created: Oct. 29, 2025, 7:25 a.m. GMT