Prop Bets: Victoria Mboko VS Coco Gauff 2025-08-02
"Coco Gauff vs. Victoria Mboko: A Tale of Double Faults and Double Chances"
The WTA’s fourth-round clash between Coco Gauff and Victoria Mboko promises drama, doubles, and a dash of Canadian pride. Let’s break it down with the precision of a well-placed drop shot.
The Stats That Matter
- Gauff’s Achilles’ Heel: The top seed has committed 37 double faults in the tournament, including a brutal two-hour, 55-minute marathon against Danielle Collins. Her serve? A liability.
- Mboko’s Ace Attack: The 18-year-old Canadian phenom has fired 32 aces in her run to the fourth round, including a comeback win over Marie Bouzkova. She’s also 6-0 against top-50 players this year.
- Head-to-Head: Gauff leads 1-0 (a three-set clay-court clash in Rome), but Mboko’s confidence is sky-high after rallying in front of a raucous Toronto crowd.
The Odds (Converted to Implied Probabilities)
- Gauff: 70-73% chance (odds: 1.36–1.42, per BetMGM/Bovada).
- Mboko: 29-36% chance (odds: 2.85–3.20).
- Spread: Gauff is -3.5 to -4.5 sets favorite.
- Total Games: 20.5 games line (even money). Bet the over if you’re a glutton for punishment (Gauff’s matches have averaged 22+ games so far).
Prop Bets to Watch
While no explicit player props are listed, the context screams for them:
- Aces Over/Under 8.5: Bet Mboko to eclipse her 32-tournament total? Probably not, but her 14 aces in her last match alone make her a serve specialist.
- Double Faults Over/Under 5.5: Gauff’s already hit 14 in one match this week. This could be a self-own special.
Prediction
Gauff’s talent is undeniable, but her serve has been a four-alarm fire. Mboko, meanwhile, is riding a wave of momentum and home-court heroics. This could go three sets, but Mboko’s serving wizardry might just crack Gauff’s consistency.
Final Pick: Coco Gauff to squeak through in three sets (2-6, 6-3, 6-3), but don’t count out Victoria Mboko—she’s the future, and she’s bringing a waffle iron to a tennis match.
“I’m not saying Victoria’s going to win… I’m saying I’d pay $100 to see her try.” 🎾🇨🇦
Created: Aug. 2, 2025, 3:46 p.m. GMT