Prop Bets: Washington Commanders VS New York Giants 2025-12-14

"Giants Edge Out Commanders in a Battle of the Bottom: A 46.5-Point Thriller (Probably)"

The Washington Commanders (3-10) and New York Giants (2-11) meet in a holiday-weekend dumpster fire of NFL futility, where the only thing more certain than a combined 46.5-point total is the league’s love for scheduling drama. Let’s break it down with the precision of a QB rating…

The Odds, Brought to You by the House of “Why Not?”
- Moneyline: Giants (-144) vs. Commanders (+122). Implied probabilities? Giants at 59.3%, Commanders at 45.5%. Translation: Bookmakers trust New York’s bye-week freshness over Washington’s “we’ve lost 10 in a row” energy.
- Spread: Giants -2.5 (-140 to -144) / Commanders +2.5 (+122 to +135). The Giants need to cover by at least a touchdown to satisfy bettors who’ve probably already lost money on this game.
- Total: 46.5 points. Over (1.91-1.95) vs. Under (1.87-1.93). Implied probabilities hover around 51-54% for Over/Under. Expect a “high-scoring” affair… by NFC East standards.

Prop Bets to Wager Your Grandma’s Christmas Cookies On
1. Jaxson Dart, Giants QB:
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +175 (5.86% chance implied). Dart has scored in six of eight starts—because when your defense allows 28.2 PPG, you have to score.
- Passing TDs Over 1.5: +150 (40% implied). The Commanders allow 2 TDs/game through the air—Dart’s got a 40% shot to outperform a team that’s basically a sieve.

Deebo Samuel, Commanders WR:
- Receiving Yards Over 54.5: +110 (47.6% implied). Samuel’s averaging 54 YPG on the road—bet he’s eager to bounce back from a 27-yard dud.

Tyrone Tracy Jr., Giants RB:
- Rushing Yards Over 43.5: +120 (46.2% implied). He’s cleared 43.5 YPG in 3/4 games—because even the Giants’ offense isn’t entirely broken.

Why the Giants Edge Out the Commanders (Slightly)
- Bye Week Boost: New York’s last game was Week 13; Washington’s was Week 14. The Giants’ “fresher legs” theory is as compelling as a $5 footlong.
- Home Field Advantage: The Giants are 2-1 at home, including a 31-0 loss to the Vikings. MetLife Stadium’s “advantage” is basically “fewer fans chanting ‘We want a ref!’”
- Commanders’ QB Absence: Jayden Daniels (out) is replaced by… well, the same team that lost 31-0 to the Vikings.

Final Prediction
Giants 24, Commanders 20. The Over 46.5 points cashes because both teams’ offenses are “functional enough to score 24 points.” Dart throws 2 TDs, Samuel gets 60+ yards, and Tracy eclipses 50. Bet accordingly—or don’t; this game’s only sure thing is that someone’s drafting a状元 in April.

“The Giants are favored because they’re the lesser of two evils. And honestly, that’s saying something.” 🏈🎄

Created: Dec. 14, 2025, 4:01 p.m. GMT