Prop Bets: Washington Mystics VS Minnesota Lynx 2025-07-03
WNBA Showdown: Mystics vs. Lynx – A Tale of Two Defensive Nerds
The Setup
The Minnesota Lynx (14-2, 8-0 at home) are hosting the Washington Mystics in what might as well be a Who Wants to Be a Defensive Rebounder? special. The Lynx have won 7 of the last 9 meetings, and with Napheesa Collier back in the fold, they’re favored to avenge their earlier loss to Washington. The Mystics, meanwhile, are banking on their rookie Sonia Citron (38.2% from 3) to play 3-point assassin.
The Numbers
- Lynx are -12 favorites (implied probability: 92.3%) across the board.
- The UNDER 155.5 total points (-110) is the play, per the "defensive nerds" narrative. Both teams rank top-3 in points allowed.
- Collier’s Prop: Over 21.5 points (-110) after a rare sub-20 game. Let’s call it a rebound for Nessa.
- McBride’s Prop: Under 14.5 points (-120). Kayla’s been a 3-point specialist lately, so… under is the way.
- Citron’s Prop: Over 1.5 3-pointers (-145). She’s a rookie, but 38.2% from deep? That’s not a typo—it’s a threat.
The Prediction
The Lynx will win comfortably, likely by double digits, because home-court advantage is just code for “no Mystics fans to distract our defense.” Collier will flirt with a double-double (watch for Over 29.5 points+rebounds at -114), while McBride’s “single-digit scoring game” prop will make for a very satisfying “Under” click. Citron? She’ll drain 2-3 triples, because why not?
The Verdict
This game is the WNBA’s version of a tax audit—boring but profitable. Lay the points with Minnesota and take the UNDER. And if you’re feeling spicy, throw in Collier Over 21.5 and McBride Under 14.5 for a same-game parlay. Covers.com calls it a “bounceback” for the Lynx; I call it a nap for the Mystics.
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota Lynx 72, Washington Mystics 58.
Prop Winners: Collier (Over 21.5), McBride (Under 14.5), Citron (Over 1.5 3s).
“The Lynx don’t just play defense—they practice it in their sleep.” 🏀💤
Created: July 3, 2025, 6:49 p.m. GMT