Prop Bets: Washington Nationals VS Chicago Cubs 2025-09-05
Cubs vs. Nationals: A Tale of Two Sluggers (and a Few Dodgy Pitchers)
The Chicago Cubs (-196) are favored to stomp the Washington Nationals (+196) in a game that’s as lopsided as a hot dog at a bun convention. The Cubs, with their .249 BA and 28 HRs from Pete Crow-Armstrong, are basically the Yankees of the NL Central’s also-rans. Meanwhile, the Nationals, led by Jake Irvin (8-10, 5.29 ERA), are here to make you feel pity—and maybe a free bet on their +196 moneyline if you’re into self-sabotage.
Why the Cubs Win?
- Javier Assad (1-1, 4.05 ERA in 20.2 IP) vs. Jake Irvin (8-10, 5.29 ERA): It’s like sending a librarian to duel a guy who still thinks “library” is a verb.
- The Cubs have won 90% of games when the line is -240 or shorter. At -196, this is basically a gimme… if you ignore the fact that “gimme” is also the sound of a Nationals fan’s hopes crumbling.
- Over/under is 10.5 runs (-110 both ways). With both teams averaging 8.7 combined strikeouts per game, this could be a pitchers’ duel… until someone accidentally hits a HR.
Player Props to Bet (or Avoid, if You’re Risk-Averse):
- Pete Crow-Armstrong O/U 0.5 HR (+300): Take the Over. He’s hit 28 HRs already—this is his job.
- Nico Hoerner O/U 0.5 Hits (-425): Take the Over. Hoerner’s .288 BA makes this a no-brainer. Unless you’re a masochist, in which case: good luck.
- James Wood O/U 0.5 HR (+330): Take the Under. Wood’s 26 HRs are great, but facing Assad? This is baseball’s version of “I’ll have one beer and drive.”
Final Prediction:
The Cubs win 5-2, thanks to Assad’s 6 IP of 2 ER and Crow-Armstrong’s solo HR in the 7th. Nationals fans, meanwhile, will be busy rewatching The Office to process the loss.
Key Number: 3.5. Why? Because Irvin will strike out 3.5 batters (-125) and make you question all life choices that led you here.
Bet the Cubs -1.5 (-110) and a side bet on Crow-Armstrong HRs. You’re welcome. 🍀
Created: Sept. 5, 2025, 7:23 a.m. GMT