Prop Bets: Washington Nationals VS New York Mets 2025-09-19

Mets vs. Nationals: A Home Run or a Nationals Disaster?
The New York Mets (-206) are favored to stomp the Washington Nationals (+169) in a game that’s as lopsided as a hot dog at a salad bar. The Mets, 56.1% winners when favored this season, face a Nationals team with an MLB-worst 5.34 ERA. Translation: Bring the donuts, not the champagne.

Key Stats to Know:
- Mets pitching: 4.03 ERA (16th), 8.2 K/9 (10th).
- Nationals hitting: 4.2 runs/game (24th), 0.9 HRs/game (27th).
- Pete Alonso’s HR Prop: Over 0.5 HR (-290) vs. Under (164). Bet the Over—Alonso’s already hit 37 HRs this year.
- Juan Soto’s HR Prop: Over 0.5 HR (270) vs. Under (163). Soto’s chasing 100 RBIs, but the Nats’ pitching? Not so much.

The Total: Over 8.5 runs (1.91) vs. Under (1.91). With the Nats’ bullpen looking like a leaky faucet, this could blow past the total.

Prediction: The Mets win 7-2, Alonso homers, and the Nationals’ starter, Andrew Alvarez (-131 to throw 3.5+ Ks), will be buried under a pile of line drives. Bet the Mets -1.5 run line (-115) and laugh all the way to the bank.

“It’s not a home run if it doesn’t clear the fence… or the Nationals’ hopes.” 🎯⚾

Created: Sept. 19, 2025, 4:21 p.m. GMT