Prop Bets: Yokohama DeNA BayStars VS Hanshin Tigers 2025-09-11
Tigers vs. Yankees: A Tale of Two Walks (and a Prop Bet)
The Detroit Tigers, fresh off a series-opening victory that made the Yankees question their life choices, will host the Bronx Bombers in a matchup where the AL Central leaders have the AL East’s second-place team on a short leash. Carlos Rodón, New York’s starter, enters with a 3.12 ERA since the All-Star break, but let’s not forget: Detroit leads the majors in batting average against left-handed pitching. Rodón’s 21st-ranked walk percentage (he’s issued 69 free passes in 170.1 innings) makes the +146 prop bet on him walking three or more batters a tantalizing gamble. After all, if you can’t trust a lefty not to walk a batter, who can you trust?
On the other side, Jack Flaherty (4.85 ERA, 2-7 post-break) will take the mound like a man who’s already accepted his 8-20 record is now a permanent tattoo. The Tigers’ .280 slugging percentage against lefties? That’s Rodón’s personal nightmare. And yet, the Yankees are a -171 favorite to bounce back at home, per DraftKings. Implied probability: 63.1%. For context, that’s about the same chance your Uncle Sal has of remembering to bring his own hot dog to the game.
Verdict: The Yankees will win, but not before Rodón gifts at least three batters a free trip to first base. Take the prop. Take the game. Take the moral victory of watching Flaherty squirm. It’s a trifecta of misery for Detroit—unless they finally learn that “buying low” on the Yankees is a losing strategy.
Final Score Prediction: Yankees 4, Tigers 2. (But Rodón will walk four, just to spite the odds.)
Created: Sept. 11, 2025, 6:28 a.m. GMT